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Avian Flu Explosion in the U.S. Could Impact the Entire World – What No One Is Telling You!

Beef Suppliers, Chicken Suppliers Avian Flu Explosion in the U.S. Could Impact the Entire World – What No One Is Telling You!
Avian Flu Explosion in the U.S. Could Impact the Entire World – What No One Is Telling You!
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Contents

A Silent Threat with Global Consequences

Imagine waking up to find that the price of eggs has doubled overnight. Grocery store shelves are emptier than usual. Countries are closing borders to U.S. poultry imports, and farmers are in panic. This isn’t a dystopian movie — it’s the reality unfolding across the United States due to a surge in avian flu outbreaks.

And here’s what no one is telling you: the ripple effects of this crisis may not stop at the U.S. borders. From your breakfast plate to the global food trade, the consequences could be enormous — and long-lasting.

In this article, we expose what’s really happening behind the scenes, the economic and sanitary consequences for the world, and why this could mark a turning point for global meat and poultry markets.

Summary

  • What is avian flu and how did the outbreak start?

  • What makes this wave different from previous ones?

  • Economic impacts on the U.S. and the global market

  • How Brazil and other exporters are affected

  • Strategic insights for importers and global food companies

What Is Avian Flu and How Did the Outbreak Start?

The avian flu (bird flu) is caused by subtypes of the Influenza A virus — the most worrying being H5N1. These viruses mainly affect birds, but some strains can infect mammals and, in rare cases, humans.

Since late 2023, the U.S. has seen an alarming resurgence of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI). By early 2025, over 80 million birds had been culled, including layers, turkeys, and even wild birds. But the real shock came when the virus jumped to dairy cows and was found in the milk supply, raising public health alarms.

This isn’t just an agricultural problem — it’s a global issue.

Why This Outbreak Is Different — and More Dangerous

Unlike previous outbreaks limited to poultry farms, the current wave has reached dairy cattle and wild animals. Even more alarming, it has demonstrated the capacity for mutations, making scientists fear it could adapt to infect humans more easily.

Additionally:

  • Detected in 12 states

  • Spread to multiple species

  • Cases of contaminated milk

  • Sharp increase in the price of eggs and poultry products

The CDC and USDA are on high alert. The world is watching.

Economic Impacts on the U.S. and Global Food Markets

The U.S. is one of the largest poultry exporters in the world. With massive losses in flocks and milk production compromised, the impact on prices, trade, and food security is already being felt:

⇒ Inside the U.S.:

  • Egg prices up 22% in Q1 2025

  • Milk production dropped in 7 affected states

  • Consumers paying more for chicken, turkey, and dairy

⇒ Global Impact:

  • Several countries banned or restricted U.S. poultry imports

  • Increased demand for chicken from Brazil and Thailand

  • Disruption in global supply chains, especially in Asia and the Middle East

As the world looks for stable suppliers, Brazil stands out


 

Brazil’s New Opportunity — And Risk

While the U.S. deals with the chaos, Brazil is experiencing a surge in international demand. With strict sanitary controls and no outbreaks in commercial farms, the country became the world’s top poultry exporter in 2024.

According to Valor Econômico, Brazilian meat exports reached record highs last year — and 2025 is expected to break new records. However, vigilance is needed. Cases in wild birds were detected in states like Espírito Santo and Rio de Janeiro.

Brazil is walking a tightrope: on one hand, global opportunity; on the other, the threat of losing it all if the virus spreads domestically.

What No One Is Saying — Strategic Implications

Governments and international companies are treating this as a short-term supply chain issue — but it goes deeper:

  • Public health risk: Potential for human-to-human transmission in the future

  • Trade disruption: New sanitary barriers, inspections, and export bans

  • Food inflation: Especially in countries dependent on U.S. or European suppliers

  • Opportunity for new players: Like Brazil, Argentina, and Southeast Asia

Ignoring this scenario is not an option for importers, retailers, and investors.


 

Recommendations for Importers and Stakeholders

If you’re in the global food trade, especially poultry, eggs, or dairy, here are steps to take now:

♦Diversify Suppliers

Relying on the U.S. alone is risky. Establish relationships with certified suppliers in Brazil and Asia.

♦ Monitor Health and Trade Bulletins

Follow updates from WHO, FAO, USDA, and national ministries.

♦ Strengthen Sanitary Protocols

Both exporters and importers must reinforce biosecurity measures to ensure continued market access.

♦ Think Long Term

The world is moving toward more regionalized supply chains. Build partnerships with countries that have a good track record in sanitary safety.

The Virus Is Just the Beginning

The avian flu explosion in the U.S. is not an isolated problem. It reveals how fragile and interconnected our food systems are. The virus may be invisible, but its consequences are not.

For countries like Brazil, this is a test of capacity and responsibility. For importers around the world, it’s a wake-up call to review strategies, contracts, and sources.

Because in a world where viruses travel faster than containers, foresight is no longer optional — it’s survival.

FAQ – Frequently Asked Questions About the U.S. Avian Flu and Its Global Impact

1. What is Avian Flu?

Avian flu is a highly contagious viral disease caused by Influenza A subtypes like H5N1. It mainly affects birds, but in rare cases, it can infect mammals and humans.


2. Why is the current U.S. outbreak so alarming?

Because it’s not just affecting poultry. It has spread to wild birds and dairy cattle, raising fears of mutations and possible transmission to humans.


3. Can avian flu be transmitted to humans?

Yes, but rarely. Most human infections occur through direct contact with infected birds. There is currently no sustained human-to-human transmission, but mutations could change that.


4. What foods are most affected?

Eggs, chicken, turkey, and milk. These have seen price increases and supply shortages in the U.S., which ripple across global markets.


5. Is Brazil at risk?

Yes. While Brazil hasn’t had outbreaks in commercial farms, wild birds have tested positive. The country must maintain strict biosecurity to protect its export status.


6. What are the economic impacts for importers and exporters?

Importers face higher costs and lower availability. Exporters from safe regions, like Brazil, are seeing a surge in demand and new trade opportunities.


7. How can consumers protect themselves?

Avoid contact with sick birds, buy certified animal products, and ensure food is cooked thoroughly. Properly cooked meat, eggs, and milk do not transmit the virus.


Article by Mell

The educational articles on the Mello Commodity Blog aim to guide international buyers with news, alerts, market information and data on the harvest and production of Brazilian agricultural commodities.

Some articles may contain affiliate links that provide access to several SUPPLIER GUIDES for Brazilian agricultural commodities. The commission paid to the Mello Commodity team is used to cover production costs and will not impact the cost of acquiring the material.

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